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Bitcoin is $82,267 this morning, but US bitcoin ETFs lost $261 million to withdrawals on Wednesday.
Bitcoin

Investors pulled $261 million from bitcoin ETFs Wednesday

A cracked cream ceramic bowl with a few flakes of gold leaf left inside, on a dark green backdrop

US spot bitcoin ETFs took in $175.7 million on Tuesday. On Wednesday, the day the inflation report landed, investors pulled out $261.4 million, Farside's figures show. Fidelity's fund lost $152.7 million and BlackRock's lost $110.9 million.

We flagged these daily figures yesterday because Glassnode calls steady inflows the clearest sign that demand is back. Tuesday was a single day. Over the last seven sessions, from October 6 to October 14, the funds lost $740.2 million on net. The week of October 5 to October 9 was worse, with $678.9 million out and $484.9 million of it on October 7 alone.

A fund that loses money to withdrawals has to sell bitcoin to pay it out, so the outflow is selling pressure. Ether funds lost $129.5 million on Wednesday and $681.5 million over the same seven sessions.

On Thursday, Asian stocks sold off on the inflation news. South Korea's Kospi closed down 7.6% after a 20-minute trading halt, and Japan's Nikkei fell about 5% in morning trading. The Block reported that bitcoin fell below $81,000 and ether dropped 6%. Binance closed more than $106 million of traders' ether bets by force in one hour after the report, the most in six months, CryptoQuant data show.

Bitcoin is $82,267 this morning, up 0.7% in a day, and the Fear & Greed Index has climbed back to 63 from 53.

If you hold bitcoin, the price has bounced and the fund money hasn't followed it yet. Thursday's and Friday's fund figures come out after the US close. A second day of outflows would say the selling isn't over, and a few days of inflows in a row would be the first sign that buyers are back.

Regulation

White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt steps down

Patrick Witt, the White House's crypto adviser, has left the job. A White House official told The Block his "detail has expired" and didn't say who will replace him.

He is the second executive director of the White House crypto council to go. The first, Bo Hines, left in August 2025 for Tether. The Wall Street Journal reported this week that Tether steered "millions of dollars" to a business Hines co-owned while he worked at the White House on the GENIUS Act, the US stablecoin law. The Journal says that business, Nxum, earned $6.3 million. A representative for Hines says he received no Tether money while in government.

The CLARITY Act, the bill that would set US rules for crypto markets, has been stalled since it failed a Senate procedural vote, 49 to 50, on September 15.

Markets

MSCI sets rules that could remove Strategy from indexes

MSCI, the company whose stock indexes many funds copy, has finalized rules for companies that mostly hold assets instead of running a business. A simulation it ran in May flagged Strategy and Metaplanet, both big bitcoin holders, for removal and put SharpLink, an ether holder, on a watchlist. MSCI will publish its final list on November 11.

Funds that track an MSCI index would have to sell the shares of any company removed. That wouldn't force the companies themselves to sell bitcoin.

Capital B, a French company that holds bitcoin, reported a first-half loss of €69.5 million ($77.9 million), The Block reported. It holds 3,538 bitcoin bought at an average of $98,460, about 16% above today's price. If you own shares of one of these companies, November 11 is the date to watch.

⚖️ The Odds
Live prices from prediction markets, where real money is staked on real outcomes.
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? 22%
New. This is a bet on whether solana trades down to $90 at any point before the end of October. Solana is $105.45 this morning, so it would have to fall about 15%, and traders put the chance at 22%. Solana's Alpenglow upgrade goes live on Wednesday.
🔭 What to Watch
The Fed's last word before its quiet period Fed officials stop speaking publicly about policy on Saturday, ahead of the October 27 and 28 meeting. Anything they say today on a rate rise or a hold is the last signal traders get before the decision.
Stablecoin supply DefiLlama counts how many dollar stablecoins exist. It showed Tether down $394 million and USDC down $468 million in a day, so another drop today would make it look like a trend.
Starknet's vote Holders of Starknet's STRK token are in a seven-day, nonbinding poll on researching a standalone Layer 1 instead of settling on Ethereum. Any actual move would need a separate governance process, so watch turnout and margin.
📈 The Tape
• BTC $82,267, ETH $2,442.46, SOL $105.45 Those are CoinGecko readings from 00:17 UTC. Bitcoin was up 0.71% on the day, ether up 0.77% and solana up 1.02%.
• Taiwan blocked access to Coinbase and Kalshi Bloomberg reported that authorities suspect both of breaking a law against for-profit gambling on election results. Taiwan holds local elections on November 28.
• Chainalysis says the US became a net importer of bitcoin in 2026 It's the first time since 2022. Institutions kept buying while retail investors were net sellers, the report says.
• The Fed's Michelle Bowman says there is no hurry She said inflation is still above the Fed's goal, then added: "We have some time to wait and see how financial conditions evolve before we take more action."
• Fear & Greed: 63, Greed, up 10 from yesterday It was 53, Neutral, on Thursday. The reading was taken at 00:00 UTC, 17 minutes before the price readings above.
In Pro today
We are retiring our dollar rule for bitcoin

Since June we have said that crypto cannot rally for long while the dollar is strong, meaning above its long-run average. On 2 October we said that if the Fed's figures still showed the dollar above that average on Monday, and bitcoin was still above $78,000 today, we would retire the rule.

Both things have happened. The dollar has been above its average at every reading since the middle of September. Bitcoin has not closed below the line we set on any day in those four weeks, and it is $82,267 this morning.

It is higher now than on the day the dollar crossed its average, despite a hot inflation report and Fed minutes that point to another rate rise. The rule said crypto would not rally in those conditions, and it did.

Before retiring it, we went back through our whole record to see how well the rule had ever worked. The strongest evidence for it was this summer: the dollar fell under its average at the end of July and stayed there until the middle of September, and bitcoin rose by nearly a fifth over those weeks. We pointed to that in August as the rule working. But that was one stretch, and our record has plenty of others.

Read today’s Pro
The rest of this one is for Pro readers. It picks up where this stops.
The bitcoin funds report after the US close, so the question stays open until tonight.
TC
We can add up the fund flows, but we can’t tell you who buys next. What you do with your money is your call.
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