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GM. This is The Crossover.
The company that owns more bitcoin than anyone spent most of last week’s money buying back its own shares, and bitcoin sat out a 1,000-point rally in the Dow on Monday.
Bitcoin

Strategy's buyback cost twice what its bitcoin did

An old wooden abacus with its beads pushed to both ends, on a teal backdrop

Strategy, Michael Saylor's company, published its weekly purchase report on Monday. In the week to 8 November it sold 2.05 million of its own shares for $283.8 million. It spent $81.9 million of that on 1,036 bitcoin, at an average price of $79,012, and $188.3 million buying back 1.89 million of its STRC preferred shares.

STRC is the preferred stock Strategy sells to raise money for bitcoin, and it pays holders a monthly dividend. When it trades below the price Strategy sells it at, buying it back props the price up, and the company needs that price to keep selling new STRC.

Last week that defense cost more than twice what the bitcoin did. The company now holds 850,364 bitcoin bought for about $64.16 billion, an average of $75,456 a coin. At this morning's $74,534 the pile is worth about $63.4 billion, roughly $780 million less than it cost.

Bitcoin hasn't traded above Strategy's average since Sunday night on any of our hourly readings.

MARA, one of the largest listed bitcoin miners, reported on the same day that it had sold 13,597 bitcoin since the end of September at an average of $81,039. The $1.1 billion repaid $750 million of loans taken out against its coins and freed 17,477 bitcoin that had been pledged as collateral. It had already sold about 23,000 coins in the first half of the year.

So two of the biggest corporate holders of bitcoin spent last week shoring up their balance sheets rather than adding coins. Strategy still bought, and still has $4.9 billion in dollars set aside. But most of the new money went to its own shares.

If you hold bitcoin, the steadiest buyer of the cycle is below its own cost and spent more than two dollars on its shares last week for every one on the coin. Its next report comes Monday.

Regulation

Coinbase got its federal trust bank charter

On Monday the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the US bank regulator, gave Coinbase National Trust Company its final approval. The charter took effect on Friday.

It holds crypto for clients, mainly institutions, under federal supervision. It cannot take deposits or make loans, and there's no deposit insurance. Coinbase plans to move its New York custody business, chartered by the state in 2018, into the federal bank over three years.

Circle got the same approval in July and Ripple in October. The Independent Community Bankers of America, the trade group for community banks, is suing the OCC over the rules behind these charters. In May it asked the regulator to hold Coinbase's approval back.

If you own bitcoin through an ETF, most of the US ones keep their coins with Coinbase, and that custody business is moving under the national bank regulator over the next three years.

Markets

The Dow rose 1,000 points and bitcoin stayed flat

On Monday the Dow rose more than 1,000 points and the Nasdaq nearly 3%. Nvidia fell 4.3% after its board opened a probe into Jensen Huang, its chief executive, and the rest of the stock market rallied anyway. CoinDesk's bitcoin index ended the New York trading day at $74,775, down 0.02%.

Last Thursday the Nasdaq fell 5.5% and bitcoin fell with it, from $80,209 to $76,102 on our daily readings. On Monday the stocks came back and bitcoin didn't.

On Monday Cathie Wood's Ark funds sold $6.1 million of Jack Dorsey's Block and $1.13 million of Bullish, the crypto exchange, and bought $16.2 million of Nvidia as the shares fell.

If you hold crypto as a bet on tech, it fell with the stocks last week and did not rise with them on Monday.

⚖️ The Odds
Live prices from prediction markets, where real money is staked on real outcomes.
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? 14%
Down 3 pts. The bet is that Jensen Huang resigns or is removed as Nvidia's chief executive by 31 December; traders on Polymarket (the prediction market) had the Huang-leaves bet at 17% yesterday morning with about $131,000 wagered. The same market reads 14% this morning on $479,000, after Nvidia's board said on Sunday it has no reason to believe secrets were compromised and the shares fell 4.3% anyway. Most of the traders with money on the Huang-leaves bet think he stays, and more of them think so now than did yesterday.
🔭 What to Watch
October's inflation report, 13:30 UTC today. The US Labor Department publishes how fast prices rose in October; economists expect the core figure, which leaves out food and energy, near 0.2%. Traders on Polymarket put a December Fed rate rise at 80%, and a 0.3% reading would make it close to certain.
MSCI's list of asset-holding companies, on Wednesday. MSCI, which builds the indexes that index funds copy, publishes its list of companies that mostly hold assets rather than run a business. If Strategy is on it, funds that track MSCI's indexes would have to sell its shares after 30 November.
Today's bitcoin fund flows. The US spot bitcoin funds report this evening, the first day after the inflation report. Investors took $201 million out on Monday, the third day in a row of money leaving, so a day of money coming in would be the first since last Wednesday.
📈 The Tape
• Bitcoin $74,534, up 0.4% in 24 hours. Ether $2,115 (down 0.2%) and solana $85.82 (down 0.4%) at our 06:22 UTC reading. Bitcoin's low on Monday was $73,734, during the European morning, and it has held between $74,000 and $75,150 since.
• Charles Schwab now sells solana, avalanche and chainlink to its retail clients. The largest US retail broker added the three coins to its crypto platform on Monday, alongside bitcoin and ether, at a fee of 0.75% a trade. It's still not open to clients in New York or Louisiana. Solana's daily reading is its lowest since 20 August.
• BitMine added 9,587 ether and holds 6,070,092, 4.97% of all ETH. The company has said it stops buying at 5% of supply, which is about 37,000 ether away, or about four weeks at last week's pace.
• North Korea's launderers moved stolen Binance-hack NEAR through six throwaway memecoins. Elliptic (the blockchain analysis firm) tracked about $430,000 of stolen NEAR through the new tokens, where the transfers look like ordinary trades. One of the tokens carried an “Elon 2028 President” banner.
• Fear & Greed: 32, Fear, up 3 on the day. The reading covers Monday, the day bitcoin set its low and then held it, and doesn't cover anything since midnight.
In Pro today
How we tell when forced selling is finished

Late on Sunday night the exchanges closed more than a billion dollars of leveraged crypto bets, most of them bets on a rise. Ether's traders lost more than bitcoin's. Bitcoin is at $74,534 this morning, its lowest in a month.

A day like that usually gets one reading. The over-stretched bets are gone, the people who were going to be forced out have been forced out, and the price can find its buyers again. By Monday evening that reading looked plausible. Bitcoin set its low early in the European morning and held above it through the US day, and the US stock market surged, with the Nasdaq up nearly 3%.

Bitcoin didn't join in. It ended Monday lower than it began, by our daily reading, and the investors in the US bitcoin funds took money out again, as they had on Thursday and Friday. The ether funds' investors took out more on Monday than on any day since the end of October.

So the question for anyone holding crypto this morning is a plain one. Did the exchanges clear the market on Sunday, or only its first layer? Three things tell you, and they are the three we check after a day like it.

The first is how much of the betting is still open. The second is whether the people who stayed in are still paying to stay. The third is who is sitting at the price they paid, because they are the next sellers if the price slips again.

Read today’s Pro
The rest of this one is for Pro readers. It picks up where this stops.
The biggest corporate bitcoin buyer raised $284 million last week and put two thirds of it into its own shares.
TC
This is The Crossover. We count who bought and who sold; what you do with your own coins is entirely your call. We’re better at reading filings than at reading the future, and we have the records to prove it.
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