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THE BRIEFING
GM. This is The Crossover.
MetaMask is handing wallets to software; the humans, meanwhile, are waiting on a jobs number.
ON-CHAIN · Desk

MetaMask built a wallet for AI agents

MetaMask opened early access on Thursday to Agent Wallet, a version of its wallet built for software instead of people. An AI agent gets its own self-custodial wallet and can swap, pay and move money on-chain, but only inside rules you write down first. Everyone else gets access later this summer.

The rules are the interesting part. You set a daily spending cap and a list of apps the agent is allowed to touch. In Guard Mode, anything outside those limits stops and waits for a human. Beast Mode lets the agent run with fewer interruptions, and even there a flagged or suspicious transaction still demands a second sign-off from you.

Underneath, every transaction the agent attempts runs through a simulation and a scam screen from the security firm Blockaid. The agent cannot switch either of them off. It works across every network MetaMask supports, plus Hyperliquid. And it plugs straight into the tools people already run agents from: Claude Code, Codex and Cursor.

Two days ago this page carried the plumbing half of the same story. Cloudflare and Glassnode switched on rails that let one piece of software pay another a nickel at a time. That was the pipes. This is the hand on the tap.

The wallet millions of people keep in their browser can now be operated by an assistant that never sleeps.

If you hold crypto, two things change. You can hand an agent a budget this summer and let it do the boring work, the swaps and the claims and the gas top-ups. And a new kind of user starts arriving on-chain, one that spends exactly as fast as its permissions allow. That makes the permission screen the most important part of the product. Read it slowly before you let anything called Beast Mode near your money.

MARKETS · Desk

Crypto's perpetual futures are headed for stocks

The Wall Street Journal spent this morning's markets letter warning about perpetual futures, the crypto-born bet with no expiry date and leverage that can reach 100 times your money. Traders call them perps. At that leverage, a 1% move in the wrong direction wipes a trader out.

The firms offering perps offshore now want them legal in the US for stocks and commodities, and the administration sounds open to it. CME, the biggest US derivatives exchange, is fighting the idea. It cites investor safety, and it is also defending its own ground: it just launched single-stock futures that trade 23 hours a day.

Leverage in the American stock market has been capped since the 1930s. Crypto already knows how the uncapped version ends. Last October's crash was a chain of forced liquidations. If perps come to the stock market, that culture comes with them.

BITCOIN · Desk

Milk Road's pitch to AI investors is crypto

John Gillen, Milk Road's in-house analyst, opened a note this week with a line that would have drawn laughs in spring. "If you're in AI, pivot to crypto."

Bitcoin sits roughly 49% below its October high of $126,198, and nothing broke on the way down; no exchange failed, no stablecoin lost its peg. The money simply left, much of it for AI stocks. July changed the mood. Chip stocks shed more than $1 trillion in value, the Nasdaq 100 fell over 10%, and investors started asking whether all that spending on chips and data centers will ever pay for itself.

Gillen is not saying the AI boom is over. His tell is smaller. Ordinary people have started asking him about semiconductor ETFs, and that usually happens late in a run. Yesterday's issue had bitcoin miners turning into AI landlords. Today the same argument arrives in reverse.

🎲   The Odds
Will Zcash reach $1,000 by December 31, 2026? 10%
  
-3 PT  ·  Zcash already ran through $600 this year, and the crowd still gives it one in ten for four figures. The bet has cooled three points as that climb stalls.
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? 9%
  
-1 PT  ·  The deep-downside bet on XRP keeps thinning, down another point to 9% as sellers lose conviction.
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? 46%
  
NEW  ·  The Senate sits at 46%, new to rotation on $258K of liquidity, right next to an 88% bet that the House stays Democratic. Every crypto bill on the table, CLARITY included, lives or dies in that chamber.
👁   What to Watch
01 This morning's US jobs report. At 8:30 New York time the government reports how many jobs America added in July. Forecasters have penciled in 91,000 to 120,000; June landed at just 57,000. A hot number strengthens the Fed officials who want rates parked where they are. A soft one revives the case for cutting, and cheaper money is the one tailwind crypto has spent all year waiting for.
02 Bitcoin ETF flows, day four. US spot bitcoin ETFs have taken money in three days running, and each day beat the one before: $170 million, then $212 million and then $244 million. The number to watch is $300 million in a single day. One day that size, or even a fourth in a row, and the quiet repair starts to read as demand.
03 SpaceX's giant share unlock. The first batch of SpaceX insider shares became sellable on Thursday, part of an unlock worth roughly $105 billion that lifts the tradable slice of the company from about 5% to nearly 12%. That is a wall of new stock competing for investors' dollars, and every dollar absorbing SpaceX paper is a dollar not chasing anything riskier, crypto included.
📟   The Tape
BTC $64,274, down 0.44%. ETH sits at $1,900 and SOL at $72.60, both a touch lower. Bitcoin has now spent a month inside the same few thousand dollars.
Wintermute got a US broker-dealer license. One of crypto's biggest market-making firms can now handle regulated US securities, and it says commodities are next. Crypto firms keep applying for Wall Street's licenses.
Putin signed Russia's crypto-exchange law. Exchanges and custodians in Russia get a legal framework for the first time, while paying for things with crypto stays banned. The fine print is still being read.
"Strong hands absorbing weak-hand supply." CryptoQuant's Julio Moreno, on bitcoin whale wallets growing to 3.06 million coins, with the buying concentrated below $60,000.
Fear & Greed: 25, Extreme Fear, down 2. Thursday's reading, the most recent published, two points lower on a day the price barely moved.
This is The Crossover. We read the machinery and tell you what we see; what you do with your money stays entirely your call. Even the robots in today’s issue have spending limits.

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