On Tuesday two of the people who vote on US interest rates spoke in public and sent different signals. John Williams, president of the New York Fed, is also vice chair of the committee that sets rates. He said "there is no need for urgency, and we have time to gather more information."

The Wall Street Journal reports he suggested the Fed could wait until December before raising rates again. His words carry weight because the vice chair usually reflects the middle of the committee.

Michael Barr, a Fed governor, spoke in Detroit on Tuesday as well. The Fed raised rates at its September meeting with no one dissenting, and Barr said "further policy adjustments are likely to be needed" to bring inflation back to the Fed's 2% target.

Bond traders reacted the same day. The two-year Treasury yield, which follows where people expect the Fed's rate to go, fell. Traders on the prediction market Polymarket now give a hike at the October 28 meeting about 44%, down from 69% a day earlier.

Longer bonds went the other way. The 10-year yield ticked up to another 19-year high, and the 30-year rose to 5.594%, its highest since 2002. Those yields reflect years of expected inflation and government borrowing, which a delay of a few weeks doesn't touch.

Williams still expects one more hike, which he said "may be appropriate late this year."

Bitcoin is $83,432 this morning, up 0.6% in 24 hours. The Journal says it is on pace for its best quarter since the end of 2024, up more than 40% since July.

If you hold it, the rate risk has moved a couple of months down the calendar and hasn't gone away. Friday's jobs report is the next number that could change the date.

House Oversight chair James Comer sent letters on Tuesday to Hyperliquid Labs, Crypto.com and Aristotle Exchange, the owner of PredictIt. He wants their records on how they check who their traders are and how they catch suspicious trades.

His investigation, opened in May, had covered only the prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket. They have handed over nearly 1,000 documents.

Comer pointed to a large borrowed bet on falling prices, opened on Hyperliquid shortly before the October 2025 tariff announcement. He asked whether that trader acted on information the public didn't have. The letters follow cases like an Army soldier accused of using classified information to make about $400,000 on Polymarket.

He has said the pattern could lead Congress to consider new rules. If you trade on Hyperliquid, its answer on how it verifies traders is the one to follow.

After hackers took about $387.5 million from Bitget on September 24, they tried to move more than $50 million of it through NEAR Intents, a service that swaps coins between blockchains. The hackers had already swapped the stolen USDT and USDC into ether and BNB, which Tether and Circle can't freeze.

NEAR Intents says its screening layer, called SHIELD, refused nearly all of it. Only about $166,000 got through. SHIELD checks deposit addresses against shared lists of stolen funds.

Bitget's chief executive Gracy Chen asked another swap service, THORChain, to refuse service to the attackers' addresses. THORChain declined, likening its neutrality to that of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Swap services choose for themselves whether to take stolen money, and these two chose differently. If you move coins between chains, it is worth knowing which kind you're using.