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GM. This is The Crossover.
Bitcoin lasted one day above $80,000, then fell with the AI stocks to under $76,000.
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Bitcoin

Bitcoin fell below $76,000 as AI stocks crashed

A polished black shoe stuffed with tangled computer cables, on a teal backdrop

Bitcoin was above $80,000 on every one of our hourly readings until midday UTC on Thursday. By 16:05 it was $75,963, and it's $76,055 this morning, down 5.4% in a day. Ether fell further and is down 7.5%.

Bitcoin fell with US tech stocks. The Nasdaq is the index where most of the big AI companies are listed, and it closed down 5.5% on Thursday. An index of chipmakers fell more than 12%.

Qualcomm, which makes phone chips, warned late on Wednesday of weaker profit margins ahead. On Tuesday, voters backed candidates and ballot measures that would slow data-center construction, and AI companies can't grow without data centers.

Dina Powell McCormick, the president of Meta, said this week that getting data centers built is "going to be harder" after the election.

Exchanges forcibly closed more than $1 billion of borrowed bets on crypto prices in 24 hours, according to the data firm CoinGlass. In the four hours when bitcoin fell fastest, 93% of the money was in bets on higher prices.

Fund investors sold as well, taking $430.2 million out of the US bitcoin funds on Thursday. They had put in $74.6 million on Wednesday, the day bitcoin crossed $80,000. Since Monday they've taken out $869.8 million more than they put in.

Investors who sold stocks bought US government bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury falls when investors buy, and it dropped to 4.836%.

Bitcoin's supporters call it digital gold, the thing you hold when other markets frighten you. On Thursday investors bought bonds, gold rose half a percent, and bitcoin fell with the AI shares. If you hold bitcoin, it's worth watching those shares for as long as bitcoin moves with them.

Regulation

House Democrats plan to investigate the Trumps' crypto businesses

Robert Garcia is the Democrat expected to chair the House Oversight Committee. He says it will investigate the Trump family's businesses, crypto included.

World Liberty Financial, the family's crypto company, is likely to be among the first investigated. Fortune reported that the inquiries could start as early as February. Democrats also plan to examine President Trump's pardon of Changpeng Zhao, who founded Binance.

The crypto industry spent about $176 million on Tuesday's elections, most of it through the campaign fund Fairshake. Democrats won the House and the Senate anyway.

The Clarity Act, the bill that would set rules for crypto markets, dies unless Congress passes it by January 3. Traders on Polymarket, a betting market, put the chance of the Clarity Act becoming law this year at 3%.

If you hold World Liberty's WLFI token or its USD1 stablecoin, the company behind them may spend next year answering to Congress.

DeFi

Hyperliquid Strategies applied for a US futures license

Hyperliquid Strategies is a Nasdaq-listed company that exists to hold HYPE, the Hyperliquid exchange's token. On Thursday it said a subsidiary has applied to register as a futures commission merchant, the kind of firm that can take futures orders from US customers.

Hyperliquid is based outside the US and offers perpetual futures, which are bets on a price that never expire. If regulators approve, Hyperliquid Strategies plans to offer them to Americans.

It also reported a profit of $620.6 million for July to September, on revenue of $13.3 million. The profit comes from $803 million of gains on HYPE it hasn't sold. It raised $911 million from shareholders and spent $785 million of it on more HYPE.

If you're in the US, this is the second attempt in a week to bring Hyperliquid's markets to you legally. The owner of the New York Stock Exchange is behind the other.

⚖️ The Odds
Live prices from prediction markets, where real money is staked on real outcomes.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? 33%
Up 12 pts. The bet is that the Federal Reserve leaves interest rates where they are at its December meeting, when most traders expect it to raise them. Traders on Polymarket put the chance of no change in December at 33%, up from 21% yesterday morning, before US stocks fell. When we last showed you this bet, on October 26, the chance of no change was 20%.
🔭 What to Watch
The October jobs report, 8:30 in New York. It's the government's count of October jobs and the unemployment rate. Jobless claims just fell to 189,000, near a 57-year low; a strong report gives the Fed room to raise rates, a weak one less.
ZetaChain's vote closes on Saturday. ZetaChain, a blockchain built to connect other chains, is voting on a plan to shut itself down on December 9 and reissue ZETA on Solana. Zilliqa said this week it will give up its own chain and run on Ethereum.
MSCI publishes its list on Wednesday. MSCI, whose indexes many funds copy, names the companies it counts as mostly holding assets instead of running a business. If Michael Saylor's Strategy is listed, funds copying those indexes would have to sell its shares after November 30.
📈 The Tape
• Bitcoin $76,055, down 5.4% in 24 hours. Ether $2,235 (down 7.5%) and solana $90.00 (down 7.0%) at our 10:12 UTC reading. Bitcoin was $80,355 on Thursday morning.
• Samsung Wallet now offers USDC accounts on Solana in the US. Owners of eligible Galaxy phones can buy, hold, send and receive the dollar stablecoin inside the wallet app that comes with the phone. About 82 million phones in the US are compatible, The Block reported.
• Zcash's NU7 upgrade went live overnight. It cuts the time between blocks from 75 seconds to 25 and switches off Sprout, the first of Zcash's private pools. About 12,200 ZEC were still in Sprout on Thursday morning, and the upgrade leaves coins there unspendable.
• Eric Balchunas, who covers ETFs at Bloomberg Intelligence, on Thursday's stock trading: "ETF volume is a fear gauge as big boy traders use them to tweak ports in crisis, and today was five alarm fire type selloff." About $80 billion of QQQ, the fund that tracks the Nasdaq 100, changed hands on Thursday. He says that's a record for the 27-year-old fund.
• Fear & Greed: 28, Fear, down 22 on the day. It was 50 on Thursday, its only reading out of Fear since October 29. Today's reading covers Thursday, the day bitcoin fell from above $80,000.
In Pro today
Bitcoin's corporate holders have started selling

On Wednesday investors put money into the US spot bitcoin funds for the first time in four trading days. On Thursday they took $430.2 million out, from six funds at once. Bitcoin is at $76,055 this morning.

On Tuesday we said the thing to watch was two buying days in a row. The funds managed one. Fidelity's fund took in nearly all of the money that arrived on Wednesday, and on Thursday its investors took most of that out again.

The funds are one of the two big buyers bitcoin has had this year. The other is the listed companies that hold it: the miners, who keep some of what they mine, and the treasury companies, who borrow money to buy it. This week several of them published their results for July to September, and the results show them selling.

Riot Platforms, the second-largest listed miner, said it sold more than ten thousand bitcoin between July and September, cutting its holding by about four-fifths. Keel Infrastructure, formerly Bitfarms, sold nearly all of its coins and said it will sell each day's new ones from now on. Core Scientific plans to stop mining altogether before the end of the year.

Trump Media moved more than four thousand bitcoin to the exchange Crypto.com this week. The analytics firm Arkham labels the wallets they came from as collateral for a billion dollars of the company's notes, and on 30 November the holders of those notes can ask for their money back in cash.

Most people who own bitcoin think of these companies as the holders who don't sell: miners who keep what they mine, and treasury companies that were built to buy. So with the funds' investors taking money out, who is left to buy bitcoin under $80,000?

Read today’s Pro
The rest of this one is for Pro readers. It picks up where this stops.
Stocks open in New York an hour after the jobs report, and on Thursday bitcoin followed them down.
TC
This is The Crossover. We report what happened and say what we make of it; what you do with your own money is for you to decide. Yesterday we told you bitcoin was back above $80,000, and that held for about six more hours.
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